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October Existing-Home Sales Rise

by Ashlie DuCros

Source: NAR

 

Existing-home sales improved in October while the number of homes on the market continued to decline, according to the National Association of REALTORS®.

Total existing-home sales — completed transactions that include single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops — rose 1.4 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.97 million in October from a downwardly revised 4.90 million in September, and are 13.5 percent above the 4.38 million unit level in October 2010.

Room for Improvement

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said the market has been fairly steady but at a lower than desired level. “Home sales have been stuck in a narrow range despite several improving factors that generally lead to higher home sales such as job creation, rising rents, and high affordability conditions. Many people who are attempting to buy homes are thwarted in the process,” he explained.

“A higher rate of contract failures has held back a sales recovery. Contract failures reported by NAR members jumped to 33 percent in October from 18 percent in September, and were only 8 percent a year ago, so we should be seeing stronger sales,” Yun added.

Contract failures are cancellations caused by declined mortgage applications, failures in loan underwriting from appraised values coming in below the negotiated price, or other problems including home inspections and employment losses. “Other recent factors include disruption in the National Flood Insurance Program, and lower loan limits for conventional mortgages, which paradoxically force some of the most creditworthy consumers to pay unnecessarily higher interest rates,” Yun said.

 

 

According to Freddie Mac, the national average commitment rate for a 30-year, conventional, fixed-rate mortgage fell to a record low 4.07 percent in October from 4.11 percent in September; the rate was 4.23 percent in October 2010.

NAR President Moe Veissi said consumers can increase their odds of obtaining a mortgage by being aware of how credit scores are determined. “If you want to get a mortgage, don’t buy a car or take on new installment debt or credit cards,” he said. “Pay all your bills on time, maintain old credit lines, and don’t use more than 30 percent of your credit limit. REALTORS® can help you understand the issues surrounding access to affordable credit, in addition to helping you find the right home and negotiate terms.”

A Mixed Bag

An ongoing positive trend is a steady decline in the number of homes on the market. Total housing inventory at the end of October fell 2.2 percent to 3.33 million existing homes available for sale, which represents an 8.0-month supply at the current sales pace, down from an 8.3-month supply in September. Inventories have been trending gradually down since setting a record of 4.58 million in July 2008.

The national median existing-home price for all housing types was $162,500 in October, which is 4.7 percent below October 2010. Distressed homes — foreclosures and short sales typically sold at deep discounts — slipped to 28 percent of sales in October from 30 percent in September (17 percent were foreclosures and 11 percent were short sales); they were 34 percent in October 2010.

“In some areas we’re hearing about shortages of foreclosure inventory in the lower price ranges with multiple bidding on the more desirable properties,” Yun said. “REALTORS® in such areas are calling for a faster process of getting foreclosure inventory into the market because they have ready buyers. In addition, extending credit to responsible investors would help to absorb inventory at an even faster pace, which would go a long way toward restoring market balance.”

All-cash sales accounted for 29 percent of purchases in October, little changed from 30 percent in September and 29 percent in October 2010; investors make up the bulk of cash transactions.

Investors purchased 18 percent of homes in October, compared with 19 percent in September and 19 percent in October 2010. First-time buyers accounted for 34 percent of transactions in October, up from 32 percent in September; they were 32 percent in October 2010.

Single-family home sales increased 1.6 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.38 million in October from 4.31 million in September, and are 13.8 percent higher than the 3.85 million-unit pace one year ago. The median existing single-family home price was $161,600 in October, which is 5.8 percent below October 2010.

Regional Performance

Existing condominium and co-op sales were unchanged at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 590,000 in October but are 10.5 percent above the 534,000-unit level in October 2010. The median existing condo price was $160,300 inOctober, down 1.5 percent from a year ago.

Regionally, existing-home sales in the Northeast fell 5.1 percent to an annual level of 750,000 in October but are 1.4 percent above October 2010. The median price in the Northeast was $224,400, down 5.5 percent from a year ago.

Existing-home sales in the Midwest rose 2.8 percent in October to a pace of 1.10 million and are 19.6 percent higher than October 2010. The median price in the Midwest was $132,800, which is 4.7 percent below a year ago.

In the South, existing-home sales increased 2.1 percent to an annual level of 1.94 million in October and are 14.1 percent above a year ago. The median price in the South was $145,700, down 1.6 percent from October 2010.

Existing-home sales in the West rose 4.4 percent to an annual pace of 1.19 million in October and are 15.5 percent higher than October 2010. The median price in the West was $207,500, which is 1.6 percent below a year ago.

 

For more information or questions, please contact me at 714-743-9778 or log on to www.AshlieDucros.com

 

 

Mortgage Rates Below 4% for Second Time

by Ashlie DuCros

WSJ-Amy Hock

 

For the second time in history—and the second time in as many months—average rates on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages fell below 4%.

After falling to an average 3.94% on a 30-year fixed mortgage in the week ending Oct. 6, rates had ticked back up over the past month.

Now, amid mixed signals about the health of the U.S. economy, rates on the 30-year mortgage fell to average 3.99% for the week ending Nov. 10, down from 4% last week and 4.17% a year ago, according to Freddie Mac's latest survey of conforming mortgage rates.

"The economy added 80,000 net jobs in October, below the market consensus forecast, but employment gains over the prior two months were revised up by 102,000 and the unemployment rate fell to 9.0%, the lowest in six months," said Freddie Mac Chief Economist Frank Nothaft.

Mr. Nothaft added that while one recent report showed improvement in factory orders, a separate reading also showed expansion slowed in the service industry last month.

Low home prices and mortgage rates have kept affordability high, Mr. Nothaft said, adding that the National Association of Realtors' housing affordability index in September hit its third highest reading on record.

Rates on 15-year fixed-rate mortgages also dropped slightly, averaging 3.3% this week, down from 3.31% last week and 3.57% a year ago.

Five-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages averaged 2.98% this week, up slightly from 2.96% last week. The ARM averaged 3.25% a year ago.

And 1-year Treasury-indexed ARMs averaged 2.95% this week, up from 2.88% last week. The ARM averaged 3.26% a year ago.

To obtain the rates, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage required payment of an average 0.7 of a point, the 15-year fixed-rate mortgage required an average 0.8 point and the ARMs required an average 0.6 point. A point is 1% of the mortgage amount, charged as prepaid interest.

 

For more information or questions, please contact me at 714-743-9778 or log on to www.AshlieDucros.com

November 2011- Orange County Stats

by Ashlie DuCros

November 2011- Orange County Stats

November  2011 Orange County Stats: # Of Homes For Sale vs. Homes In Escrow

City:

For Sale:

 In Escrow:

Yorba Linda

280

168

Brea

103

47

Fullerton

363

215

Anaheim Hills

154

102

Newport Coast

126

27

Orange

403

212

Irvine

752

387

Laguna Beach

North Tustin

Anaheim

282

83

529

70

23

456

 

For questions please contact me at 714-743-9778 or log on to www.ashlieducros.com 

 

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Ashlie DuCros & Associates
Coldwell Banker Previews Global Luxury
21580 Yorba Linda Blvd.
Yorba Linda CA 92887
714-743-9778
Fax: 714-849-5489